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30
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2
期
张自然
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An International Comparison of Urbanization with Consideration
of Industrial Structures Based on Data from 38 Countries and Regions
ZHANG Ziran & WEI Xiaomei
(
Institute of Economics
,
Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
,
Beijing 100836
,
China
;
China Banking Regulatory Commission Rizhao Field Office
,
Rizhao
,
Shandong 545001
,
China
)
Abstract
: Based on theoretical and empirical studies of the relationship between urbanization and per capita GDP, and in鄄
dustrial sector and service sector in 38 countries and regions during the period of 1976 鄄鄄2011, this paper analyzes China蒺s urbani鄄
zation and industrial and service sector, and suggests that China蒺s difference in urbanization with world average level is from 4%
- 11% . China蒺s difference in urbanization with world average level is not so large as some scholars claimed. The regression curve
of China蒺s urbanization on per capita GDP is nearest to that of Japan and Germany; during a long period China蒺s urbanization may
only reach to 76% ; industrial sector, along with urbanization, will maintain crucial roles in economic growth, while the signifi鄄
cance of service sector will rise in economic growth and its share in GDP will expand. Improving labor productivity of services
with respect to industry is the inevitable choice of China蒺s future economic development. And decision鄄makers should develop pol鄄
icies based on urbanization development stage and the people蒺s income level.
Key Words
: urbanization; per capita GDP; industry structure; service sector
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