中国经济的三个趋势性变化:原因与对策

Three Trend Changes in China's Economy:Causes and Countermeasures

中文关键词:  中国经济的三个趋势性变化  消费率  “双循环”新发展格局  收入分配  深化改革

英文关键词:three trend changes in China's economy  consumption rate  new development pattern of “dual circulation”  income distribution  deepening reform

中文摘要:

      近些年,中国经济出现了三个趋势性变化:一是中国经济的内向化趋势,二是消费取代资本形成成为拉动中国经济增长的主力马车,三是消费率偏低并且呈下降趋势。中国经济的内向化趋势主要是由国内经济结构升级和国际经济关系大变局共同作用形成的,其中,2012年以来中国经济中第三产业占比持续超过第二产业,是中国经济内向化的主要国内原因。中国消费率和居民消费率偏低而且还呈波浪式下降的趋势,主要是收入分配差距过大造成的。这就提示我们,实施促进共同富裕的发展战略势在必行,而要促进共同富裕,需要实现“三个共同”,即共同提高、共同奋斗和共同发展。

英文摘要:

      In recent years, there have been three trend changes in China's economy:Firstly, it is the inward trend of China's economy. Secondly, consumption has replaced capital formation as the main carriage driving China's economic growth. Thirdly, the consumption rate is relatively low and shows a downward trend. The inward trend of China's economy is mainly formed by the upgrading of domestic economic structure and the great changes in international economic relations. Since 2012, the proportion of the tertiary industry in China's economy has continuously exceeded that of the secondary industry, which is the main domestic reason for China's economic introversion. China's consumption rate and residents' consumption rate are relatively low and show a trend of downward swing, which is mainly caused by the excessive income distribution gap. This reminds us that it is imperative to implement the development strategy to promote common prosperity. In order to promote common prosperity, this paper puts forward “three commons”:common improvement, common effort and common development. 