工业化进程影响物流业发展的路径与作用机理——基于多国数据的实证研究

Path and Mechanism for Industrialization Process to Impact Logistics Industry Based on Empirical Study of Multinational Data

中文关键词:  产业结构  社会劳动生产率  城市化  信息技术  物流业

英文关键词:industrial structure  social labor productivity  urbanization  information technology  logistics industry

中文摘要:

      在工业化进程中,物流业的发展受多种因素的影响,呈现出明显的阶段性特征。工业化对物流业的影响路径主要体现在社会劳动生产率的提高、产业结构的演进、城市化的扩展与信息技术的提升等四个方面。实证结果表明,在工业化的整个过程中,社会劳动生产率对物流业发展的“量”和“质”具有持续促进作用,但影响力表现出阶段递减的趋势,信息技术的作用却是一直在持续上升。产业结构对物流量增长和物流绩效提升均发挥了重要的促进作用,且作用表现稳定。城市化对物流业的“量”与“质”的影响不同,对前者表现出先增后降的倒“U”形式,而对后者的促进作用较为稳定。因此,在工业化的不同阶段,应注意这些差异性,以有的放矢地发挥其重要作用。

英文摘要:

      During the process of industrialization, the development of logistics industry is affected by many factors with some obvious stage characteristics. The pathfor industrialization to affect logistics industry involves4 aspects such as the improvement of social labor productivity, the evolution of industrial structure, the expansion of urbanization and the development of information technology. The empirical results show that, in the whole evolution process of industrialization, the social labor productivity has a continuous promoting effect on “quantity” and “quality” of the development of logistics industry, but the impact tends to be diminishing, while the effect of information technology has kept rising. The industrial structure has played an important and steady promoting role in the increase of both the “quantity” and the performance oflogistics industry. Theurbanizationhas different impacts on the “quantity” and “quality” of logistics industry, showing an inverted “U” shape on the former with a rise firstanda fallsubsequently, but with the promoting effect on the latter relatively stable. Therefore, more attention should be paid to these differences on the different stages of industrialization so as to play their important roles on purpose. 