习惯性偏好、人口结构与城镇居民服务消费——基于2000—2011年省级动态面板数据的实证检验

Habitual Preference, Demographic Structure and Service Consumption of Urban Residents——Based on the Empirical Test of Provincial-level Dynamic Panel Data of 2000—2011

中文关键词:  习惯性偏好  人口结构  服务消费  动态面板

英文关键词:habitual preference  demographic structure  service consumption  dynamic panel

中文摘要:

      基于服务经济时代来临和人口老龄化趋势日益明显的大背景,将习惯性偏好与人口结构两个变量引入服务消费函数。在利用跨省动态面板数据进行分析后发现:习惯性偏好和人口结构都是影响居民服务消费的重要变量；习惯性偏好对服务消费有显著的促进作用；人口结构变量中,少年儿童抚养比与居民服务消费呈正相关关系,老年人口抚养比和男女性别比皆与服务消费呈负相关关系。建议从健全社会保障、完善消费环境等方面着手,引导居民扩大服务消费。

英文摘要:

      With the coming of service economy era and the increasingly obvious of the population aging tendency, it's necessary to introduce ‘habitual preference’ and ‘demographic structure’ to the service consumption function. Through the empirical test of provincial-level dynamic panel data, we conclude the following findings:habitual preference and demographic structure are important variables that had a great effect on resident service consumption; proportion of children raising had a positive relationship with resident service consumption, while proportion of ald-aged people supporting and ratio of male vs. female both demonstrated a negative relationship. This paper suggests to guide residents to expand service consumption through proceeding a sound social security, improving the consumption environment and so on. 