投资、消费、进出口贸易对经济增长贡献的实证分析

Empirical Analysis on Investment, Consumption and Import-Export Trade for their Contributions to Economic Growth

中文关键词:  三驾马车  经济增长  多元线性回归

英文关键词:the troika  economic growth  multi-linear regression

中文摘要:

      投资、消费、进出口贸易历来都被视为中国经济增长的“三驾马车”,它们共同影响着经济增长的态势。本文根据GDP最常见的运算公式,利用SPSS统计软件对我国1988年至2003年的国民生产总值、社会固定资产投资、社会消费品零售总额、进出口净额进行多元线性回归分析,从而说明“三驾马车”对我国经济增长的贡献大小,并运用经济学的知识解释分析结果,最后阐述如何获得我国长期稳定的经济发展。

英文摘要:

      Investment, consumption and import-export trade, always regarded as "the troika" for China's economic growth, are together affecting the state of economic growth. According to the most familiar GDP formula, with the use of the SPSS statistical software, this paper makes a multi-linear regression analysis on gross domestic product, social fixed asset investment, total retail sales of social consumables and net import-export trade on the basis of China's data during 1988-2003, which explains the contributions of "the troika" to China's economic growth. Moreover, it illustrates the analytical results by using the knowledge of economics and finally elaborates how to achieve the-long-term stable economic development.